Torus Thursday, October 02, 2025

The U.S. dollar slipped after rallying, pressured by fears of a looming government shutdown and a stabilizing core PCE inflation rate of 2.9%, which reinforces expectations that inflation remains sticky but contained.

Sources: Reuters, FXStreet


EUR/USD has slipped out of its 2025 uptrend channel, raising the prospect of a corrective move lower toward support around 1.1586–1.1497, while resistance near 1.1775 may cap upside. At the same time, ECB President Lagarde said inflation risks in the eurozone are “quite contained”, reinforcing views that the ECB may maintain rates for now unless data surprises.

Sources: Forex, Financial Times


Sterling fell on worries that the U.S. may impose a 100% tariff on British pharmaceutical imports, pushing investors to reassess UK exposure to trade risks. Meanwhile, the FTSE 100 pulled back after rallying four days straight, weighed down by tariff uncertainty and global sentiment shifts despite bouts of strength in pharmaceutical stocks.

Sources: DMarketForces, Bloomberg


In September 2025, Nigeria’s FGN bond auction drew a staggering 530% oversubscription (₦1.26 trn subscriptions vs ₦200 bn offered), despite a recent rate cut by the CBN. Meanwhile, over an eight-month period, the Central Bank revealed that Nigeria’s debt service bill hit $2.86 billion and that banks’ deposits with the CBN rose by 568% to ₦146.13 trillion — signaling massive liquidity parked at the apex bank.

Sources: Nairametrics, Punch, Vanguard


The Bank of Ghana’s $300 million forex auction is helping stabilize the cedi and alleviate external pressures, while Ghana’s consumer inflation fell to 9.4% in September—the lowest since August 2021 driven largely by easing food prices. Also, the Ghana Securities Exchange (GSE) was the standout performer among selected African markets for the week ended September 26th, 2025, posting an impressive 4.34% gain.

Sources: Nairametrics, Ghanaweb


The BCEAO has launched a regional interoperability platform (PI-SPI), set to go live September 30, 2025, which will enable real-time transfers 24/7 between banks, mobile money operators, and microfinance institutions across the UEMOA region—marking a major step in financial inclusion and payment system integration.

Sources: Financial Afrik


The Bank of Central African States (BEAC) held its key rates steady at its September meeting as regional growth forecasts were downgraded to 2.6% for 2025, dragged by weakness in oil & gas. Inflation is expected to continue its downward trajectory, with forecasts pointing toward a rate near 2.6%, comfortably under the 3% regional target.

Sources: Ecofin Agency, Business in Cameroon 


Oil rebounded modestly after sliding from 3-week lows, as markets reassessed the risk of tighter sanctions on Russian crude. Meanwhile, earlier in the week, crude futures tumbled over 3%, driven by expectations that OPEC+ would ramp up output and flood already well-supplied markets. 

Sources: Oil price, Reuters 


NNPCL has agreed to supply crude to Dangote Refinery under a new two-year deal to ensure steady feedstock flow. Following a brief halt caused by crude supply constraints, Dangote has resumed petrol sales in naira. While Nigerian crude oil hits $70/barrel amid global tensions.

Sources: Nairametrics, Reuters


PENGASSAN directed its members to cut off gas and crude flows to Dangote Refinery in protest over mass sackings, triggering a nationwide strike and causing long fuel queues and price pressure in major cities


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